David Theil – Medium

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David Theil

Where Omicron might take us

This is quickly written ( poor structure and typos etc.) because I have lot going on, but this topic is important and things are changing…

7 min readDec 3, 2021

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Where Omicron might take us

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David Theil

Why I am on Medium

I have been posting information about the pandemic on Facebook for quite some time. More than once, people close to me have encouraged me…

2 min readFeb 7, 2021

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Why I am on Medium

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David Theil

Vaccination vs. Death Rates Under Omicron

Saw this table of data in an NBC news story and thought “lets see it as a plot.” There is a recent CDC study claiming the risk of omicron…

1 min readFeb 4, 2022

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Vaccination vs. Death Rates Under Omicron

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David Theil

Right on Schedule, 5 weeks to the Omicron Crest

I have been tracking Manhattan (New York County, New York) to see if it would more or less match the omicron infection curve South Africa…

2 min readJan 8, 2022

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Right on Schedule, 5 weeks to the Omicron Crest

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David Theil

How to Handle the Winter Surge?

In the past 4 months, Delta has remained dominant (see covariants.org) regardless of “new variants” that have peppered the news. Nothing…

5 min readNov 14, 2021

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How to Handle the Winter Surge?

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David Theil

How much more dangerous is Delta ?an incomplete peek

I have much to do today so this is not going to be thorough.

4 min readAug 6, 2021

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How much more dangerous is Delta ?an incomplete peek

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David Theil

Is Delta+ a new problem? Probably not and too soon to know

There have been several srquenced samples where Delta has acquired a new mutation, K417N. You may be seeing stories about “Delta +” (Pango…

3 min readAug 4, 2021

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Is Delta+ a new problem? Probably not and too soon to know

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David Theil

Delta Surge Progression and Forecasting

After what unfolded in India in February and into April, I began closely watching how the frequency of the Delta (Δ) variant grew in…

7 min readAug 1, 2021

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Delta Surge Progression and Forecasting

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David Theil

Understanding COVID Vaccines

This grew out of a facebook reply where someone asked for information about the vaccine. It is long, but they seemed to like it. I hope it…

7 min readJul 29, 2021

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Understanding COVID Vaccines

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David Theil

Variant Of Interest Coming Attraction: B.1.621

Pango lineage B.1.621 (aka 21H in the Nextstrain Clade naming convention) is not yet a Variant of Interest (VOI). My quick peek at its…

3 min readJul 29, 2021

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Variant Of Interest Coming Attraction: B.1.621

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David Theil

David Theil

I have a background in science. I back up nearly everything science I write with peer reviewed research, or at least preprints and pointers to my data sources

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