PinnedDavid TheilWhere Omicron might take usThis is quickly written ( poor structure and typos etc.) because I have lot going on, but this topic is important and things are changing…Dec 3, 2021Dec 3, 2021
PinnedDavid TheilWhy I am on MediumI have been posting information about the pandemic on Facebook for quite some time. More than once, people close to me have encouraged me…Feb 7, 2021Feb 7, 2021
David TheilVaccination vs. Death Rates Under OmicronSaw this table of data in an NBC news story and thought “lets see it as a plot.” There is a recent CDC study claiming the risk of omicron…Feb 4, 2022Feb 4, 2022
David TheilRight on Schedule, 5 weeks to the Omicron CrestI have been tracking Manhattan (New York County, New York) to see if it would more or less match the omicron infection curve South Africa…Jan 8, 2022Jan 8, 2022
David TheilHow to Handle the Winter Surge?In the past 4 months, Delta has remained dominant (see covariants.org) regardless of “new variants” that have peppered the news. Nothing…Nov 14, 2021Nov 14, 2021
David TheilHow much more dangerous is Delta ?an incomplete peekI have much to do today so this is not going to be thorough.Aug 6, 2021Aug 6, 2021
David TheilIs Delta+ a new problem? Probably not and too soon to knowThere have been several srquenced samples where Delta has acquired a new mutation, K417N. You may be seeing stories about “Delta +” (Pango…Aug 4, 2021Aug 4, 2021
David TheilDelta Surge Progression and ForecastingAfter what unfolded in India in February and into April, I began closely watching how the frequency of the Delta (Δ) variant grew in…Aug 1, 2021Aug 1, 2021
David TheilUnderstanding COVID VaccinesThis grew out of a facebook reply where someone asked for information about the vaccine. It is long, but they seemed to like it. I hope it…Jul 29, 2021Jul 29, 2021
David TheilVariant Of Interest Coming Attraction: B.1.621Pango lineage B.1.621 (aka 21H in the Nextstrain Clade naming convention) is not yet a Variant of Interest (VOI). My quick peek at its…Jul 29, 2021Jul 29, 2021